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The wide list of resources, than Maltus, are not capable to see possibility for
Continuations of growth of the West.
After the First World War has become famous for a prediction of a decline of Zapada Osvald
Spengler The Decline of the West, Oswald Spengler, 2 vols (New York: Knopf, 1926-28). At the time of Spengler any reasonable prophet could not expect,
That the next fifty years the population of the USA almost will double, and GNP size
Per capita (in constant dollars) will increase more than in 2,5 times.
Matter is not that Spengler simply was mistaken in terms of the inevitable termination
Geometrical growth. It is much more important that such talented and acute
The thinker as Spengler, not only has incorrectly understood and has underestimated the forces which are standing up for
Economic growth of the West, but also has incorrectly understood and has overestimated forces,
Decomposing and destroying sources of growth. And it is far not one it.
We will find out that the West has created powerful system of economic growth
Of this kind that it is capable to generate development and with decades to supply
Material well-being growth already after resulting it in
Their very deceptive. The people working within the limits of this system, resulting it in
Movement, can continue to do that they did always, already after that,
As all stimulus for a constructive labour will disappear, and system will be
To support only a habit and absence of the best alternatives of its people.
The such system can terminate to act so slowly, and rupture
In time between occurrence of the reasons of decline and their action it can appear so
Big that by the time of when degeneration becomes obvious, the course of events can
To appear irreversible. Social systems can continue expansion still for a long time
After approach of the events, doing inevitable their destruction. The main thing
Historical example still is the destiny Roman political
Empires, instead of the western economic empire: the first continued expansion
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