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The wide list of resources, than Maltus, are not capable to see possibility for

Continuations of growth of the West.

After the First World War has become famous for a prediction of a decline of Zapada Osvald

Spengler The Decline of the West, Oswald Spengler, 2 vols (New York: Knopf, 1926-28). At the time of Spengler any reasonable prophet could not expect,

That the next fifty years the population of the USA almost will double, and GNP size

Per capita (in constant dollars) will increase more than in 2,5 times.

Matter is not that Spengler simply was mistaken in terms of the inevitable termination

Geometrical growth. It is much more important that such talented and acute

The thinker as Spengler, not only has incorrectly understood and has underestimated the forces which are standing up for

Economic growth of the West, but also has incorrectly understood and has overestimated forces,

Decomposing and destroying sources of growth. And it is far not one it.

We will find out that the West has created powerful system of economic growth

Of this kind that it is capable to generate development and with decades to supply

Material well-being growth already after resulting it in

Their very deceptive. The people working within the limits of this system, resulting it in

Movement, can continue to do that they did always, already after that, As all stimulus for a constructive labour will disappear, and system will be To support only a habit and absence of the best alternatives of its people. The such system can terminate to act so slowly, and rupture

In time between occurrence of the reasons of decline and their action it can appear so

Big that by the time of when degeneration becomes obvious, the course of events can

To appear irreversible. Social systems can continue expansion still for a long time

After approach of the events, doing inevitable their destruction. The main thing

Historical example still is the destiny Roman political

Empires, instead of the western economic empire: the first continued expansion

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