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Were distinguishable already before the publication of the General theory of employment, percent and money, andCareful management of economic processes (for what it is necessary is better To know specific results of effect of certain actions) conducted to To attempts to use the accessible statistical information as base for Forecasting. These attempts leant against the certain methodological Belief of that type that originally scientific theory should give the chance Predictions also that there should be a possibility for revealing Interdependence between quantitative changes it the modular Indicators. I already noticed that, from my point of view, much more modest The theory still can be checked, i.e. can be denied the actual Supervision; here I can add only that so defined to me
The following conclusion is represented - these ambitious purposes are unattainable. It is impossible
To deny, however, that if it was possible to establish that some of the such Communications are more or less stable on long spaces of time, Possibility to predict, so also utility of an economic theory, hardly Would grow. I am not assured that for the last 25 years, despite all applied
Efforts, in this direction it was possible to reach much. It is represented to me that in
Final analysis it will be revealed that as a whole such constant dependences Form by certain microeconomic conditions so, we can
To judge, whether the quantitative communications found us will be saved in the future
Between modular indicators, only leaning against microeconomic analysis
Situations. Hence, it is possible to expect that in the future a new push to development
Microeconomic theory it will be created by requirements of the macroanalysis.
Probably, it is necessary to add that the obvious observed recently
Absence of interest to the microtheory at young economists is generated by the defined
The macrotheory form. Keynes developed it, mainly, as an employment theory,
Proceeding, at least right at the beginning, from the assumption of availability
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