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Let's come back to that occurs during crisis. While to last boom, Many new investments give a quite good current yield. Crash of hopes comes Owing to sudden doubts in expected yield, maybe, therefore,

That the current profit finds out signs of reduction in process of the constant

Growth of a stock of again made capital goods. If thus flowing Production costs are regarded as too high in comparison with that,

With what they should be subsequently, one more reason for aggravation is available

Marginal efficiency of the capital. As soon as the doubt arises, it Extends very fast. Thus, in an initial stage of crisis

It will appear, possibly, which marginal efficiency is a lot of the capitals,

Has become insignificant or even has turned to negative size. But Space of time which should take place until, while defect The capital owing to its use, damage and an obsolescence will become Quite obvious also will cause growth of its marginal efficiency, can be Fairly steady function of average service life of the capital in

The given period. If characteristic features of the period vary, at the same time

The typical interval of time will be changed also. If, for example, from the growth period

We will pass the population by the period of its reduction, a defining phase of a cycle

It will be extended. But, apparently from the aforesaid, there are weighty reasons,

Owing to which duration of crisis should be in Certain dependence on duration of service life capital Property of long use and from normal growth rates in the given The historical period.

The second constantly acting time factor is connected with costs Storages of redundant stocks that forces their use during The known period of time, not so short, but also not so long.

The sudden termination of new investments of the capital after crisis approach

Results, most likely, in accumulation of redundant stocks

Half-finished products. Storage of these stocks will seldom manage more cheaply 10 their %

Costs a year. Therefore falling of their price should be significant enough,

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